Showing posts with label Iraq. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iraq. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Eeyore's News and View

Makes you wonder, after they call all Jews home last month and now this and all the news surrounding, iran and the other nuclear countries.
Israel stages biggest-ever war drill
JERUSALEM (CNN) -- Israel started its biggest emergency drill in the nation's history Sunday to prepare civilians, soldiers and rescue crews for the possibility of war, the defense force said in a statement.
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak has expressed skepticism that Iran can be persuaded to abandon its nuclear ambitions.
The five-day drill, nicknamed Turning Point 3, comes amid the nation's rising tensions with Iran.
It will be conducted in public facilities, including schools, military bases and government offices. Students, soldiers and other civilians will practice how to gather at protected places during an emergency.
Officials said the drill will include simulated rockets, air raids and other attacks on infrastructure and essential facilities, and use of weapons on civilians.
Everyone is expected to go to a protected place at the sound of sirens, the defense force said, adding that more instructions will be broadcast on a public channel.
"It is of great importance that every civilian, institute and workplace will seriously practice in order to improve our preparedness and national resilience," Maj. Gen. Yair Golan of the Home Front Command said in a news statement.
The move comes amid tension between Israel and Tehran.
The Israeli government considers Iran's nuclear program as the dominant threat facing the country. Israel is publicly supportive of President Barack Obama administration's outreach to the Islamic state.
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak told Israeli Army Radio last week that he believes "that the chance the dialogue has of stopping Iran's nuclear efforts is very low."
Barak's views are keeping with the majority of his countrymen.
An Israeli poll released this month found that 74 percent believe that the U.S. policy of engagement with Iran will fail and 81 percent think Iran will develop a nuclear weapon capability.
Israel has conducted emergency drills the past two years, but officials said this is the biggest so far.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/meast/05/31/israel.drill/index.html

Federal judge refuses to dismiss 'Day of Prayer' suit
MADISON, Wisconsin (AP) — A federal judge has refused to dismiss a lawsuit filed by an atheist group that claims the National Day of Prayer is unconstitutional.
U.S. District Judge Barbara Crabb ruled this week the case brought by the Madison-based Freedom From Religion Foundation can proceed.
A federal law sets the first Thursday in May as the day for presidents to issue proclamations asking Americans to pray.
Crabb says the nation's largest group of atheists and agnostics faces a heavy burden in proving the tradition violates the Constitution's provision for separation of church and state. But she says it should have an opportunity to do so.
The Obama administration and National Day of Prayer Task Force had filed motions to dismiss the case.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/religion/2009-05-29-prayer-lawsuit_N.htm

Foreclosures add to hurricane hazards
June 1, 2009 - 9:58am
By TAMARA LUSH Associated Press Writer
LEHIGH ACRES, Fla. (AP) - Mike Manikchand points toward his neighbors _ a half-dozen empty, foreclosed-upon homes, sitting on weed-strewn yards _ and he wonders: What will happen if a hurricane slams into southwest Florida this year?
His simple answer: "A lot of these places will get destroyed."
Unoccupied, these homes would be defenseless in a storm; there will be no one to put up shutters, batten down garage doors and otherwise secure homes. But that's not all. Nearby homes and their residents would also be at risk from wind-propelled debris.
Lehigh Acres and other communities at the epicenter of the nation's housing crisis are coming to realize that this year's hurricane season, beginning June 1, represents yet another pitfall. Hurricanes could make hazards of thousands of foreclosed-upon houses, and their diminished value could decrease even more.
"Here's your choice," said Julie Rochman, president of the Tampa-based Institute for Business and Home Safety. "Spend a little bit of time and money to secure the properties to withstand wind and water or not do the right thing and have the homes become damaged and are valued less."
The Associated Press Economic Stress Index _ a month-by-month analysis of foreclosure, bankruptcy and unemployment rates in more than 3,000 U.S. counties _ confirms that some of the areas most likely to be struck by a hurricane are suffering the most in this recession.
In March, there were 281,691 homes in foreclosure in Florida and coastal counties in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas and Virginia.
Lee County, where Manikchand lives, is among the hardest-hit counties in the country. A 22-year-old pharmacy student, he took advantage of a dismal housing market and bought a foreclosed duplex for $36,000.
In coming months, he and millions of others along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts will dutifully track tropical weather forecasts and stockpile batteries, flashlights and tins of tuna, hoping that hurricanes blow harmlessly out to sea.
But who will secure all the foreclosed homes if a storm does approach? No one really knows.
In some cases, a property management company hired by the bank could do the work. Or it could be a real estate agent, a homeowners' association or even resourceful neighbors who clear debris from yards and board windows. Yet no state laws mandate who prepares buildings before a hurricane; even officials from the Florida Division of Emergency Management say that securing foreclosures isn't a concern.
"It's not an aspect that we really deal with," said John Cherry, the agency's external affairs director. "Our No. 1 concern is life safety."
Quick evacuation will be the priority, not securing vacant homes, if a major storm looms, others say. But shutterless homes can be a major safety hazard in a hurricane. And a region full of destroyed or heavily damaged homes would depress real estate values even further.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters have projected a near normal year for hurricanes. They predicted nine to 14 named tropical storms, including four to seven hurricanes. One to three of the hurricanes are expected to be major.
Randall Webster, director of the Horry County Emergency Management Department in South Carolina, said if a storm does hit, properties in foreclosure could slow recovery if the county can't immediately find the owner, "especially if it were in a neighborhood where others around it were taking care of business and this one gets in rough shape," he said.
The issue of who cares for vacant homes during a time of crisis seems simple: The legal owner is responsible for securing the property. But communities are already struggling to get banks to mow lawns, much less put up hurricane shutters _ if they weren't swiped from the foreclosed home, along with appliances, copper wiring and air conditioners.
If the bank hasn't yet taken the title of a home, the property is in a kind of limbo, and local officials or homeowners associations may have no legal right to trespass and secure it. And many hard-hit counties don't have the money or manpower to do it.
"Simple logistics tells me (the banks) don't have the staff to follow up," said Kenneth Wilkinson, property appraiser for Lee County, which in March had the third-highest foreclosure rate in the United States, after California's Merced County and Nevada's Clark County.
There are some places that are trying to board up windows and batten down garage doors, although largely to stave off crime. Wellington, in Palm Beach County, has gone to court to receive the legal OK to board up homes. And in Cape Coral, city officials have passed an ordinance that requires the owner of a foreclosed home to pay $150 to register the address and provide a contact number for the person who will maintain the property.
Palm Beach County Commissioner Burt Aaronson has asked county attorneys to research whether it is legal to board up empty homes.
"If we board them up, we're protecting them," Aaronson said. "Hopefully we will be able to keep some of the value up."
Aaronson contends that the banks don't always maintain the homes and doesn't expect that they will in the days before a storm _ and if the county takes over that responsibility, then he wants the banks to pay.
"We want to use the full power we have as a government to levy the greatest fines that we can to penalize banks for not taking care of the properties," he said.
Horry County's Webster says there might be another way for public officials to take matters into their own hands.
"If it became deemed a public health issue or public safety hazard, the county would have some legal recourse to secure it in terms of making it off limits or safer," said Webster, whose county includes Myrtle Beach and has seen foreclosures rise over the past year.
Some banks say that they have a plan for hurricanes; JP Morgan Chase says it will use property management companies and bank field employees to make sure properties are storm-ready. And if the homes are damaged or destroyed during a storm, said Michael Fusco, a spokesman for JP Morgan Chase, the bank "acts just like a homeowner" and will file an insurance claim.
Debora Blume, a spokeswoman for Wells Fargo Bank, said her company hires local real estate agents who have been assigned to market bank-owned properties to secure homes against hurricane damage.
But one real estate agent in the Fort Myers area said the process of putting the maintenance work out to bid and then getting approval from the bank that owns the property might not be workable as a storm bears down.
"During a hurricane, we need to get out of town, not wait for approval for funding to secure a building," said Suzanne Sherer, president of the Realtors Association of Greater Fort Myers and the Beaches. "I won't have time to get a bid from a handyman."
In Lee County, metal hurricane shutters cover a few new, unsold homes. Many empty homes have swing sets in the yard, garbage cans strewn in the driveway and loose roof tiles, all of which could become projectiles during a storm.
Sherer said it would be "devastating" if a powerful storm similar to Hurricane Charley, which hit nearby Charlotte County in 2004, struck Lee County.
In Galveston, Texas, where more than 17,000 home were damaged by Hurricane Ike last year, there are still many empty homes _ but not because of foreclosures. The properties were damaged during the storm and owners don't have the money to rebuild.
"These homeowners have the biggest hurdles as far as getting back into their homes," City spokeswoman Alicia Cahill said. "A lot of the homes that were affected were lower income to moderate income families who didn't have a huge insurance policy or a lot of extra cash lying around to make repairs."
Tybee, Ga., mayor Jason Buelterman says officials there haven't considered potential problems with foreclosures during storm season. Their first priority, he said, is assuring the safety of island residents and tourists if a hurricane heads their way. Dealing with foreclosed homes will be an afterthought.
Yet residents throughout the hurricane zone are worried, especially those who live in foreclosure-dotted neighborhoods. Armando Gonzalez, 72, retired from Miami to Lehigh Acres five years ago.
He and his wife moved to a small home a few blocks from the city center, in a quiet yet thriving neighborhood. But in the last two years, his neighbors left, either because of foreclosure or job loss. Now he's the only one on his block; the home next to him has a broken window and the one across the street is only half-built.
When asked what would happen to all the nearby, dilapidated homes if a hurricane hit, Gonzalez shrugged and grinned.
"I can't do anything," he said. "Maybe I'll pray. God will save me."

http://wtop.com/?nid=104&sid=1686402

At least he can keep his pledge about some stuff, it only cost us over 24 grand,
OBAMA KEEPS HIS BIG APPLE PLEDGE
Two martinis, a swank restaurant, a Broadway show -- President Obama really knows how to treat a First Lady.
"I am taking my wife to New York City because I promised her during the campaign that I would take her to a Broadway show after it was
all finished," the president said yesterday after touching down at JFK for an intimate night on the town.
PHOTOS: Obama's NYC Date
The first couple left their girls, Sasha and Malia, behind at the White House yesterday afternoon, taking two helicopters and a small Air Force jet to make their way to Manhattan.
The Obamas were dressed to the nines -- Michelle in a sleeveless, black cocktail dress adorned with fringe, a pair of low, strappy heels and a turquoise clutch; and the president in a dark suit and white shirt, no tie.
The first stop was a meal at low-key, but elegant, Greenwich Village restaurant Blue Hill, which boasts farm fresh, locally grown dishes.
The Obamas were tucked into an out-of-the- way corner table where they enjoyed a multi- course feast specially prepared by the chef. They washed down the fine fare with wine, said a fellow diner, who also no ticed Michelle re laxing with a cou ple of martinis.
Photographers were kept blocks away be hind barri cades for the first couple's privacy.
"We left them alone the entire night," said Blue Hill diner Rachael Levit, of Manhattan. "Nobody asked for autographs or took any pictures. They were laughing and talking and seemed like they had a genuinely good time."
But as the Obamas departed, the respectful diners, who had been screened by Secret Service personnel before they could enter the eatery, erupted into a round of applause.
Then it was up to Broadway, where they had tickets at the Belasco Theatre for "Joe Turner's Come and Gone," a play by August Wilson about a man coming to terms with the history of slavery.
"I'm nervous, excited, honored," said Andre Holland, who plays character Jeremy Furlow, before the show. "It's like in Shakespearean times, when the king would come to the show."
Although the play's up for a Best Revival Tony Award, the first couple got the biggest standing ovation of the night as theatergoers applauded and took photos of the dashing duo for 10 minutes before the show began.
The president gallantly guided his wife to their orchestra seats with his hand on the small of her back, while shaking hands with fellow theatergoers and smiling broadly. Due to security screenings, the curtain rose an hour late.
"I couldn't think for the first 10 minutes of the show because the president was sitting right to me," said seatmate Lloyd Lederkramer.
The Obamas weren't the only celebrities in the audience. Actress Meryl Streep sat a few rows ahead of them, and Olympia Dukakis was also on hand.
"I was very honored the president took a date night with his wife and chose to see our play," said leading actor Ernie Hudson. "We were all very honored."
The Obamas sent a note to the cast afterwards saying they loved the play and wished they could go backstage, but couldn't because of security, actor Michael Cummings, 13, said.
Taxpayers footed the bill for the big night on the town, which included a total of at least $24,000 for the three aircraft used to ferry the Obamas, aides and reporters to New York and back. Dinner costs and orchestra seat tickets -- at $96.50 apiece -- were paid by the Obamas.
Obama's jet, a Gulfstream 500, served as a more modest Air Force One for the day in place of the customary presidential Boeing 747.
The White House declined to say how much the trip was costing taxpayers.

http://www.nypost.com/seven/05312009/news/nationalnews/obama_keeps_his_big_apple_pledge_171810.htm

Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Eeyore's News and View

Thank you, i just noticed that i have had over a thousand visits, i hope you all are enjoying it. I only started the counter about 4 months ago.

U.S. military: Iranian drone destroyed
BAGHDAD (AP) — U.S. jets shot down an Iranian unmanned surveillance aircraft last month over Iraqi territory about 60 miles northeast of Baghdad, the U.S. military said Monday.
A U.S. statement said the Ababil 3 was tracked for about 70 minutes before U.S. jets shot it down "well-inside Iraqi airspace" and that the aircraft's presence over Iraq "was not an accident."
An Iraqi official said the Iranian aircraft went down near the Iraqi border town of Mandali. He spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the media.
The Ababil is believed to have a maximum range of about 90 miles and can fly up to 14,000 feet. It is primarily designed for surveillance and intelligence-gathering.
U.S. officials have frequently accused the Iranians of supplying weapons, training and money to Shiite extremist groups opposed to the U.S. military presence and to the U.S.-backed Iraqi government.
Iran has denied links to militant groups inside Iraq and says the instability in this country is a result of the U.S. "occupation." The Iranians consider the presence of about 140,000 U.S. troops in a neighboring country as a threat to their national security.
In Baghdad, a U.S. soldier was fatally injured during combat operations Monday, the U.S. said in a statement. No further details were released.
It was the first combat death reported by the U.S. military in Baghdad this month and the first among U.S. forces nationwide since March 7, when a soldier was killed in the Tikrit area.
U.S. casualties have dropped sharply since Iraqi soldiers and police have taken a greater role in security. President Barack Obama has pledged to withdraw all U.S. combat troops from Iraq by September 2010.
American combat troops are due to leave bases in Baghdad and other cities by June 30 under an agreement that provides for all U.S. forces to leave the country by the end of 2011.
Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki told The Associated Press on Sunday that U.S. troops may stay in some areas that are not completely secure even after the June 30 date.
He did not identify those areas, but U.S. and Iraqi troops are still trying to secure Mosul, the country's third-largest city where al-Qaeda and other Sunni militant groups remain active.
Also Monday, a 12-year-old girl was killed when American soldiers fired at a vehicle speeding toward them and Iraqi police near Mosul, said the U.S. military. The military said the girl was standing about 100 yards (meters) behind the vehicle and was struck by a round.
But Iraqi police said the girl was shot while in a car with her father. The discrepancy could not be immediately explained.
Meanwhile, an Iranian opposition group said Monday that Iraqi troops tightened their siege of a camp north of Baghdad where about 3,500 of their members have been based for about 20 years.
The People's Mujahedeen said Iraqi troops have prevented food and fuel from reaching Camp Ashraf for the past six days — despite written guarantees by the Iraqi government that it would guarantee human rights of the residents.
But Iraqi national security adviser Mouwaffak al-Rubaie branded the allegations "totally baseless." He said People's Mujahedeen members had taken over a building belonging to the Iraqi army and were preventing soldiers from entering it.
"They have a huge propaganda machine all over the world and are known to exaggerate things," added al-Rubaie, whom the People's Mujahedeen said was behind the alleged crackdown.
Iran and the United States consider the People's Mujahedeen a terrorist group and Tehran has stepped up pressure on the Iraqis to close the camp. Iraq took over security for the camp from the U.S. on Jan. 1.
But the Iraqi government promised the U.S. that it would not force the group's members to leave against their will.
The People's Mujahedeen opposed Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi during the 1979 revolution but fell out with the clerical regime that replaced him. Saddam Hussein allowed the group to set up a camp during the Iran-Iraq war for staging raids across the border inside Iran.
U.S. troops disarmed the fighters and confined them to Camp Ashraf after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion that toppled Saddam.
Also Monday, residents of the Kurdish town of Halabja marked the 21st anniversary of the March 16-17 poison gas attack by Saddam's forces against Kurdish separatists.
The 1988 attack killed thousands of people and was the biggest use of chemical weapons against a civilian populated area in history.
Local officials and victims' relatives placed wreaths on a monument to the dead.
"The anniversary has become etched in the memory of many people," said Aras Abbadi, who lost 21 relatives in the attack. "Every year, we wait for the anniversary and condemn that deplorable attack committed by a dictatorial regime against its own people."
Another participant, Mariam Saleh, 59, pointed to a photograph on display that shows a truck full of victims.
"My family was in that truck," she wept.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/iraq/2009-03-16-iraniandrone_N.htm

Mexico to impose sanctions on US exports
Published: March 16 2009 20:53
A long-simmering trade dispute boiled over into sanctions on Monday after Mexico said it would raise tariffs on $2.4bn of US exports in retaliation for ending a pilot programme to allow Mexican trucks on American roads.
The announcement marks one of the first big tests for trade policy under President Barack Obama, who has sought to tread a fine line between assuaging his domestic constituencies and upholding the US’s international obligations.
Mexico said it would increase tariffs on 90 industrial and agricultural goods, likely to include politically sensitive farm products, after Congress last week killed a pilot programme allowing a limited number of Mexican trucks on American highways. Mexico obtained a judicial ruling in 2001 under the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) allowing it to impose such sanctions, but has held off since the US introduced the pilot scheme.
The sanctions, which Mexican officials say are set to be imposed later this week, will be one of the largest acts of retaliation against US exports. US goods exports to Mexico totalled $151.5bn last year. On Monday, Gerardo Ruíz Mateos, Mexico’s economy minister, said: “We believe that the action taken by the US is wrong, protectionist and in clear violation of Nafta.”
The White House said on Monday it would seek to create a new programme that would address what it called the “legitimate concerns of Congress” while meeting the US’s Nafta commitments. But Mexican officials said they would not be bought off with promises.
The pilot programme has been opposed by many lawmakers and by the Teamsters Union, which says that Mexican trucks are unsafe. Because they are largely restricted to short-run hops over the border, most Mexican trucks entering the US are run by so-called “drayage” operations that use older vehicles more likely to fail inspection tests. But a study funded by the US Department of Transportation found that when comparing like with like, Mexican trucks were often safer than their US counterparts.
“The Mexicans have been extraordinarily patient on this,” said Edward Alden, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. “The pilot project was enough to give them glimmerings of hope for a long time.”
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ce2431c4-126b-11de-b816-0000779fd2ac.html

Lose your property for growing food?
Big Brother legislation could mean prosecution, fines up to $1 million
Posted: March 16, 2009 8:56 pm Eastern
By Chelsea Schilling © 2009 WorldNetDaily
Some small farms and organic food growers could be placed under direct supervision of the federal government under new legislation making its way through Congress.
Food Safety Modernization Act
House Resolution 875, or the Food Safety Modernization Act of 2009, was introduced by Rosa DeLauro, D-Conn., in February. DeLauro's husband, Stanley Greenburg, works for Monsanto – the world's leading producer of herbicides and genetically engineered seed.
DeLauro's act has 39 co-sponsors and was referred to the House Agriculture Committee on Feb. 4. It calls for the creation of a Food Safety Administration to allow the government to regulate food production at all levels – and even mandates property seizure, fines of up to $1 million per offense and criminal prosecution for producers, manufacturers and distributors who fail to comply with regulations.
Michael Olson, host of the Food Chain radio show and author of "Metro Farm," told WND the government should focus on regulating food production in countries such as China and Mexico rather than burdening small and organic farmers in the U.S. with overreaching regulations.
"We need somebody to watch over us when we're eating food that comes from thousands and thousands of miles away. We need some help there," he said. "But when food comes from our neighbors or from farmers who we know, we don't need all of those rules. If your neighbor sells you something that is bad and you get sick, you are going to get your hands on that farmer, and that will be the end of it. It regulates itself. "
The legislation would establish the Food Safety Administration within the Department of Health and Human Services "to protect the public health by preventing food-borne illness, ensuring the safety of food, improving research on contaminants leading to food-borne illness, and improving security of food from intentional contamination, and for other purposes."
Federal regulators will be tasked with ensuring that food producers, processors and distributors – both large and small – prevent and minimize food safety hazards such as food-borne illnesses and contaminants such as bacteria, chemicals, natural toxins or manufactured toxicants, viruses, parasites, prions, physical hazards or other human pathogens.
Under the legislation's broad wording, slaughterhouses, seafood processing plants, establishments that process, store, hold or transport all categories of food products prior to delivery for retail sale, farms, ranches, orchards, vineyards, aquaculture facilities and confined animal-feeding operations would be subject to strict government regulation.
Government inspectors would be required to visit and examine food production facilities, including small farms, to ensure compliance. They would review food safety records and conduct surveillance of animals, plants, products or the environment.
"What the government will do is bring in industry experts to tell them how to manage all this stuff," Olson said. "It's industry that's telling government how to set these things up. What it always boils down to is who can afford to have the most influence over the government. It would be those companies that have sufficient economies of scale to be able to afford the influence – which is, of course, industrial agriculture."
Farms and food producers would be forced to submit copies of all records to federal inspectors upon request to determine whether food is contaminated, to ensure they are in compliance with food safety laws and to maintain government tracking records. Refusal to register, permit inspector access or testing of food or equipment would be prohibited.
"What is going to happen is that local agriculture will end up suffering through some onerous protocols designed for international agriculture that they simply don't need," Olson said. "Thus, it will be a way for industrial agriculture to manage local agriculture."
Under the act, every food producer must have a written food safety plan describing likely hazards and preventative controls they have implemented and must abide by "minimum standards related to fertilizer use, nutrients, hygiene, packaging, temperature controls, animal encroachment, and water."
"That opens a whole can of worms," Olson said. "I think that's where people are starting to freak out about losing organic agriculture. Who is going to decide what the minimum standards are for fertilization or anything else? The government is going to bring in big industry and say we are setting up these protocols, so what do you think we should do? Who is it going to bring in to ask? The government will bring in people who have economies of scale who have that kind of influence."
DeLauro's act calls for the Food Safety Administration to create a "national traceability system" to retrieve history, use and location of each food product through all stages of production, processing and distribution.
Olson believes the regulations could create unjustifiable financial hardships for small farmers and run them out of business.
"That is often the purpose of rules and regulations: to get rid of your competition," he said. "Only people who are very, very large can afford to comply. They can hire one person to do paperwork. There's a specialization of labor there, and when you are very small, you can't afford to do all of these things."
Olson said despite good intentions behind the legislation, this act could devastate small U.S. farms.
"Every time we pass a rule or a law or a regulation to make the world a better place, it seems like what we do is subsidize production offshore," he said. "We tell farmers they can no longer drive diesel tractors because they make bad smoke. Well, essentially what we're doing is giving China a subsidy to grow our crops for us, or Mexico or anyone else."
Section 304 of the Food Safety Modernization Act establishes a group of "experts and stakeholders from Federal, State, and local food safety and health agencies, the food industry, consumer organizations, and academia" to make recommendations for improving food-borne illness surveillance.
According to the act, "Any person that commits an act that violates the food safety law … may be assessed a civil penalty by the Administrator of not more than $1,000,000 for each such act."
Each violation and each separate day the producer is in defiance of the law would be considered a separate offense and an additional penalty. The act suggests federal administrators consider the gravity of the violation, the degree of responsibility and the size and type of business when determining penalties.
Criminal sanctions may be imposed if contaminated food causes serious illness or death, and offenders may face fines and imprisonment of up to 10 years.
"It's just frightening what can happen with good intentions," Olson said. "It's probably the most radical notions on the face of this Earth, but local agriculture doesn't need government because it takes care of itself."
Food Safety and Tracking Improvement Act
Another "food safety" bill that has organic and small farmers worried is Senate Bill 425, or the Food Safety and Tracking Improvement Act, sponsored by Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio.
Brown's bill is backed by lobbyists for Monsanto, Archer Daniels Midland and Tyson. It was introduced in September and has been referred to the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee. Some say the legislation could also put small farmers out of business.
Like HR 875, the measure establishes a nationwide "traceability system" monitored by the Food and Drug Administration for all stages of manufacturing, processing, packaging and distribution of food. It would cost $40 million over three years.
"We must ensure that the federal government has the ability and authority to protect the public, given the global nature of the food supply," Brown said when he introduced the bill. He suggested the FDA and USDA have power to declare mandatory recalls.
The government would track food shipped in interstate commerce through a recordkeeping and audit system, a secure, online database or registered identification. Each farmer or producer would be required to maintain records regarding the purchase, sale and identification of their products.
A 13-member advisory committee of food safety and tracking technology experts, representatives of the food industry, consumer advocates and government officials would assist in implementing the traceability system.
The bill calls for the committee to establish a national database or registry operated by the Food and Drug Administration. It also proposes a electronic records database to identify sales of food and its ingredients "establishing that the food and its ingredients were grown, prepared, handled, manufactured, processed, distributed, shipped, warehoused, imported, and conveyed under conditions that ensure the safety of the food."
It states, "The records should include an electronic statement with the date of, and the names and addresses of all parties to, each prior sale, purchase, or trade, and any other information as appropriate."
If government inspectors find that a food item is not in compliance, they may force producers to cease distribution, recall the item or confiscate it.
"If the postal service can track a package from my office in Washington to my office in Cincinnati, we should be able to do the same for food products," Sen. Brown said in a Sept. 4, 2008, statement. "Families that are struggling with the high cost of groceries should not also have to worry about the safety of their food. This legislation gives the government the resources it needs to protect the public."
Recalls of contaminated food are usually voluntary; however, in his weekly radio address on March 15, President Obama announced he's forming a Food Safety Working Group to propose new laws and stop corruption of the nation's food.
The group will review, update and enforce food safety laws, which Obama said "have not been updated since they were written in the time of Teddy Roosevelt."
The president said outbreaks from contaminated foods, such as a recent salmonella outbreak among consumers of peanut products, have occurred more frequently in recent years due to outdated regulations, fewer inspectors, scaled back inspections and a lack of information sharing between government agencies.
"In the end, food safety is something I take seriously, not just as your president but as a parent," Obama said. "No parent should have to worry that their child is going to get sick from their lunch just as no family should have to worry that the medicines they buy will cause them harm."
The blogosphere is buzzing with comments on the legislation, including the following:
* Obama and his cronies or his puppetmasters are trying to take total control – nationalize everything, disarm the populace, control food, etc. We are seeing the formation of a total police state.
* Well ... that's not very " green " of Obama. What's his real agenda?
* This is getting way out of hand! Isn't it enough the FDA already allows poisons in our foods?
* If you're starving, no number of guns will enable you to stay free. That's the whole idea behind this legislation. He who controls the food really makes the rules.
* The government is terrified of the tax loss. Imagine all the tax dollars lost if people actually grew their own vegetables! Imagine if people actually coordinated their efforts with family, friends and neighbors. People could be in no time eating for the price of their own effort. ... Oh the horror of it all! The last thing the government wants is for us to be self-sufficient.
* They want to make you dependent upon government. I say no way! already the government is giving away taxes from my great great grandchildren and now they want to take away my food, my semi-auto rifles, my right to alternative holistic medicine? We need a revolution, sheeple! Wake up! They want fascism ... can you not see that?
* The screening processes will make it very expensive for smaller farmers, where bigger agriculture corporations can foot the bill.
* If anything it just increases accountability, which is arguably a good thing. It pretty much says they'll only confiscate your property if there are questions of contamination and you don't comply with their inspections. I think the severity of this has been blown out of proportion by a lot of conjecture.
* Don't waste your time calling the criminals in D.C. and begging them to act like humans. This will end with a bloody revolt.
* The more I examine this (on the surface) seemingly innocuous bill the more I hate it. It is a coward's ploy to push out of business small farms and farmers markets without actually making them illegal because many will choose not to operate due to the compliance issue.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=92002

An Important Message From Gun Owners Of America-- Land grab bill coming back, again Gun Owners of America E-Mail Alert8001 Forbes Place, Suite 102, Springfield, VA 22151Phone: 703-321-8585 / FAX: 703-321-8408http://www.gunowners.org Monday, March 16, 2009 Do you agree with people like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, who treatthe Second Amendment as if it were written only to protect your abilityto go hunting and target shooting? Or do you agree with Gun Owners of America, George Washington and ThomasJefferson, who believe that the Second Amendment protects a pre-existingfundamental right that is essential to the preservation of liberty? Well, a whole lot of people in Congress are claiming to protect yourSecond Amendment rights, but all they're really doing is protecting yourhunting season. We're talking about the Omnibus Public Lands Act. You helped to defeatthis bill last week in the House, but Congressional leaders have vowedto bring it up again soon. S. 22 is an enormous package of over 190 bills lumped together with aprice tag of $10 billion. The bill will greatly expand the amount ofland controlled by the National Park Service, thus spreading theagency's unconstitutional gun regulations to more areas. Fear of upsetting gun owners -- who helped elect many members ofCongress from both parties -- kept this bill off the floor for severalweeks. Then, in a meeting last Tuesday, not held in an open committee hearingbut behind closed doors, House leaders brokered a deal with somesupposedly pro-gun Democrats. They said they were concerned about your gun rights. They said theywere going to "fix" the bill. But they did not address the NPS anti-gun regulations that prohibitcarrying a firearm for self defense without a government issuedconcealed carry permit. What did they do? They added language to the bill to say you can stillgo hunting. That's right. Many Congressmen claimed to be protecting the SecondAmendment, when all they were really doing was thumbing their noses atself defense. Here is the entire "pro-gun" amendment that was considered in the House.Judge for yourself if this really protects your Second Amendment rights: "Nothing in this Title shall be construed as affecting the authority,jurisdiction, or responsibility of the several States to manage,control, or regulate fish and resident wildlife under State law orregulations, including the regulation of hunting, fishing, trapping, andrecreational shooting. Nothing in this Title shall be construed aslimiting access for hunting, fishing, trapping, or recreationalshooting." They may as well have called it the "Elmer Fudd Protection Act." A lot of people who voted for this bill campaigned for office aschampions of gun rights. They said "Send me to Washington; I'll fightfor the Second Amendment." And this is what we get? Pathetic. But let's be clear. The issue is not just about the NPS gunrestrictions, as bad as they are. And whether or not you personally usefederal land is not the point. What is important is the disdain with which legislators hold your SecondAmendment rights. It is imperative that you speak up on this issue. The outcome of thisbattle will be a preview of what we can expect for the next two years.Will your gun rights be comprised away little by little? Or will westand together and hold legislators accountable to their campaignpromises to uphold the Second Amendment? This week there may be several votes in both the Senate and House on theOmnibus Land bill. Congressional leaders plan to act quickly in an attempt to ram this downthe throat of the American people without a fair and open process. Theydesperately want to avoid any amendment that would truly protect yourgun rights. Congress hopes to leave the gun ban in place, and enlarge the areasaffected by it. For example, the bill expands existing park land,creates new national trails that will fall under the gun restrictions,and authorizes the federal government to buy more land adjacent tonational parks and trails. House and Senate leaders plan to move on this bill rapidly, althoughthey are ambiguous about the process. But our message to Congress is simple: Stop playing around with ourSecond Amendment rights! We don't care about the process. We care about the Second Amendment.And we mean ALL of the Second Amendment, not just hunting. Tell Congress you expect them to protect your right to keep and beararms without compromising. Please take a few seconds and send thepre-written message below. When you're done, become a force multiplier. Send this alert to a fewfriends. It is important that you take this action because right now GOA is theonly gun rights organization speaking out for ALL of your SecondAmendment rights. We've all forwarded jokes or funny pictures to our friends. How aboutforwarding a message to help protect our God-ordained constitutionallyprotected right to keep and bear arms? And please do not think your voice won't be heard. Remember, this billfailed to pass the House by just two votes last week because people likeyou took action. Congressmen need to know that their votes in the coming days will impactYOUR vote next year. But if they don't hear from you and they thinkyou're not looking, many will treat your rights with contempt. We're not alone in this battle. In the Senate, pro-gun champions suchas Sens. Tom Coburn and Jim DeMint are prepared to lead the fightagainst this bill. In the House, Reps. Paul Broun, Rob Bishop and Doc Hastings are amongthose fighting hard for your gun rights. In fact, there are many in Congress willing to stand up for the SecondAmendment, but they are repeatedly squashed by the anti-gun leadershipor undermined by pro-gun compromisers. Pro-gun Congressmen who want torepeal the gun ban are being told, in effect, to "Shut up and vote!" Friends, we know we've asked for a lot of action from you already thisyear. Unfortunately, that is not going to stop. But we will all draw the lineat some point. Let's work together and do it now. Thank you for working with Gun Owners of America. Our effectiveness inWashington depends on your activism. PLEASE try to get your pro-gunfriends and family involved. Now more than ever, every voice iscritical. ACTION: Please use the Gun Owners Legislative Action Center athttp://gunowners.org/activism.htm to tell your Representative andSenators to reject the lands bill (S. 22) unless your Second Amendmentrights are protected. Per usual, a pre-written letter is provided foryour convenience. ----- Pre-written message ----- The Omnibus Public Land Act of 2009 is expected to come to the floorsoon. I urge you to oppose this bill if, as expected, the leadership does notallow an amendment to repeal the anti-gun regulations of the NationalPark Service. Recent changes made by the Interior Department only allow persons with aconcealed carry permit to possess a self-defense firearm on NPS land.Non-permit holders are still prohibited from carrying a firearm fortheir protection. And please don't be fooled by a supposedly pro-gun amendment to "fix"the bill that was brought up last week during the House debate on S. 22.That language only modestly protects hunting and recreational shooting. While protecting the rights of sportsmen is important, the SecondAmendment is NOT about hunting rights. I am more concerned about myability to defend my life, and the lives of my loved ones, than I amabout plinking cans. Congressional leaders have been ambiguous about how this legislationwill come to the floor, but my message to you is clear: protect ALL ofmy Second Amendment rights.
http://frc4u.org/phpbb/index.php?topic=511.0;topicseen

Friday, December 19, 2008

Eeyore's News and View

Children forced into cell-like school seclusion rooms
MURRAYVILLE, Georgia (CNN) -- A few weeks before 13-year-old Jonathan King killed himself, he told his parents that his teachers had put him in "time-out."
We thought that meant go sit in the corner and be quiet for a few minutes," Tina King said, tears washing her face as she remembered the child she called "our baby ... a good kid."
But time-out in the boy's north Georgia special education school was spent in something akin to a prison cell -- a concrete room latched from the outside, its tiny window obscured by a piece of paper.
Called a seclusion room, it's where in November 2004, Jonathan hanged himself with a cord a teacher gave him to hold up his pants. Video Watch Jonathan's parents on their son's death »
An attorney representing the school has denied any wrongdoing.
Seclusion rooms, sometimes called time-out rooms, are used across the nation, generally for special needs children. Critics say that along with the death of Jonathan, many mentally disabled and autistic children have been injured or traumatized.
Few states have laws on using seclusion rooms, though 24 states have written guidelines, according to a 2007 study conducted by a Clemson University researcher.
Texas, which was included in that study, has stopped using seclusion and restraint. Georgia has just begun to draft guidelines, four years after Jonathan's death.
Based on conversations with officials in 22 states with written guidelines, seclusion is intended as a last resort when other attempts to calm a child have failed or when a student is hurting himself or others.
Michigan requires that a child held in seclusion have constant supervision from an instructor trained specifically in special education, and that confinement not exceed 15 minutes.
Connecticut education spokesman Tom Murphy said "time-out rooms" were used sparingly and were "usually small rooms with padding on the walls."
Only Vermont tracks how many children are kept in seclusion from year to year, though two other states, Minnesota and New Mexico, say they have been using the rooms less frequently in recent years.
Dr. Veronica Garcia, New Mexico's education secretary, said her state had found more sophisticated and better ways to solve behavior problems. Garcia, whose brother is autistic, said, "The idea of confining a child in a room repeatedly and as punishment, that's an ethics violation I would never tolerate."
But researchers say that the rooms, in some cases, are being misused and that children are suffering.
Public schools in the United States are now educating more than half a million more students with disabilities than they did a decade ago, according to the National Education Association.
"Teachers aren't trained to handle that," said Dr. Roger Pierangelo, executive director of the National Association of Special Education Teachers.
"When you have an out-of-control student threatening your class -- it's not right and it can be very damaging -- but seclusion is used as a 'quick fix' in many cases."
Former Rhode Island special education superintendent Leslie Ryan told CNN that she thought she was helping a disabled fifth-grader by keeping him in a "chill room" in the basement of a public elementary school that was later deemed a fire hazard.
"All I know is I tried to help this boy, and I had very few options," Ryan said. After the public learned of the room, she resigned from her post with the department but remains with the school.
School records do not indicate why Jonathan King was repeatedly confined to the concrete room or what, if any, positive outcome was expected.
His parents say they don't recognize the boy described in records as one who liked to kick and punch his classmates. They have launched a wrongful death lawsuit against the school -- the Alpine Program in Gainesville -- which has denied any wrongdoing. A Georgia judge is expected to rule soon on whether the case can be brought before a jury.
Jonathan's parents say the boy had been diagnosed since kindergarten with severe depression and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. But his father remembers him as a boy who was happy when he sang in the church choir.
"He was a hugger, liked to go fishing with me and run after me saying, 'Daddy, when are we going to the lake?' " Don King said.
King said that he wanted to know if there were similar situations in other schools and that critics of seclusion rooms fear there could be.
"Jonathan's case is the worst of the worst, but it should be a warning. It's reasonable to think that it could happen in all the other schools that use seclusion on disabled children -- largely because the use of seclusion goes so unchecked," said Jane Hudson, an attorney with the National Disability Rights Network.
"This is one of those most unregulated, unresearched areas I've come across," said Joseph Ryan, a Clemson University special education researcher who has worked in schools for disabled kids and co-authored a study on the use of seclusion.
"You have very little oversight in schools of these rooms -- first because the general public doesn't really even know they exist," he said.
There is no national database tracking seclusion incidents in schools, though many have been described in media reports, lawsuits, disability advocacy groups' investigations and on blogs catering to parents who say their child had been held in seclusion.
Disability Rights California, a federally funded watchdog group, found that teachers dragged children into seclusion rooms they could not leave. In one case, they found a retarded 8-year-old had been locked alone in a seclusion room in a northeast California elementary school for at least 31 days in a year.
"What we found outrageous was that we went to the schools and asked to see the rooms and were denied," said Leslie Morrison, a psychiatric nurse and attorney who led the 2007 investigation that substantiated at least six cases of abuse involving seclusion in public schools.
"It took a lot of fighting to eventually get in to see where these children were held."
CNN asked every school official interviewed if a reporter could visit a seclusion room and was denied every time.
In other instances of alleged abuse:
• A Tennessee mother alleged in a federal suit against the Learn Center in Clinton that her 51-pound 9-year-old autistic son was bruised when school instructors used their body weight on his legs and torso to hold him down before putting him in a "quiet room" for four hours. Principal Gary Houck of the Learn Center, which serves disabled children, said lawyers have advised him not to discuss the case.

• Eight-year-old Isabel Loeffler, who has autism, was held down by her teachers and confined in a storage closet where she pulled out her hair and wet her pants at her Dallas County, Iowa, elementary school. Last year, a judge found that the school had violated the girl's rights. "What we're talking about is trauma," said her father, Doug Loeffler. "She spent hours in wet clothes, crying to be let out." Waukee school district attorney Matt Novak told CNN that the school has denied any wrongdoing.

• A mentally retarded 14-year-old in Killeen, Texas, died from his teachers pressing on his chest in an effort to restrain him in 2001. Texas passed a law to limit both restraint and seclusion in schools because the two methods are often used together.

Federal law requires that schools develop behavioral plans for students with disabilities. These plans are supposed to explicitly explain behavior problems and methods the teacher is allowed to use to stop it, including using music to calm a child or allowing a student to take a break from schoolwork.
A behavioral plan for Jonathan King, provided to CNN by the Kings' attorney, shows that Jonathan was confined in the seclusion room on 15 separate days for infractions ranging from cursing and threatening other students to physically striking classmates.
Howard "Sandy" Addis, the director of the Pioneer education agency which oversees Alpine, said that the room where Jonathan died is no longer in use. Citing the ongoing litigation, he declined to answer questions about the King case but defended the use of seclusion for "an emergency safety situation."
The Alpine Program's attorney, Phil Hartley, said Jonathan's actions leading up to his suicide did not suggest the boy was "serious" about killing himself. Jonathan's actions were an "effort to get attention," Hartley said.
"This is a program designed for students with severe emotional disabilities and problems," he said. "It is a program which frequently deals with students who use various methods of getting attention, avoiding work."
A substitute employee placed in charge of watching the room on the day Jonathan died said in an affidavit that he had no training in the use of seclusion, and didn't know Jonathan had threatened suicide weeks earlier.
advertisement
The Kings say they would have removed their son from the school if they knew he was being held in seclusion, or that he had expressed a desire to hurt himself.
"We would have home schooled him or taken him to another psychologist," said Don King. "If we would have known, our boy would have never been in that room. He would still be alive."
http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/12/17/seclusion.rooms/index.html


Gun-toting woman divides community
By Kathy Boccella
Inquirer Staff Writer
LEBANON, Pa. - Before heading out the door to go to Wal-Mart, Meleanie Hain fussed over her children, grabbed her coat and keys, then ran upstairs to get one more item: her loaded Glock 26, which she strapped to her hip.
She never leaves home without it.
Hain, 30, has caused a stir in this rural Pennsylvania Dutch community 25 miles east of Harrisburg for packing a gun everywhere she goes, including to her 5-year-old daughter's soccer games this fall.
She's paid a big price for sticking to her gun.
The mother of four, who often carries a baby on one hip and her Glock on the other, has been criticized by even the most ardent gun-lovers. From once-friendly neighbors to the local police chief, the general feeling is that Hain's pistol-packing behavior is, well, extreme.
"People get alarmed because they don't see that too often," said Charlie Jones, a soccer coach who confronted Hain about the gun at a Sept. 11 game. "They don't know what your intentions are going to be."
Hain said the outcry has hurt her babysitting business and left her feeling isolated. She has been called an attention-seeker, psycho, moron and worse on hundreds of pages on Internet forums. Neighbors have blasted her on radio shows, her daughter's principal warned her against taking the gun to school (she doesn't), and the local police chief advised her to put it away.
Now she is firing back. On Oct. 24, Hain filed a federal lawsuit against Lebanon County and Mike DeLeo, the sheriff who revoked her gun permit after jittery parents complained about her at the Sept. 11 game.
The suit says they violated her constitutional and civil rights and seeks more than $1 million.
"The sheriff got on TV after the hearing and said, 'I stand by my decision,' " said Hain, who grew up in Lancaster County in a family that did not own guns. "That comment makes people think I'm still an idiot and what he did was right."
DeLeo, who calls himself a staunch NRA member, said he has nothing against guns but felt it was his duty to take action "because of the safety and security issues involving [children] on the field."
Last week, the Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence offered to defend DeLeo and the county for free.
"This is a case that calls out for common sense and sanity," said Daniel Vice, the center's senior attorney. "It's an incredible risk to bring a loaded semi-automatic weapon to a children's soccer game."
No one disputes Hain's right to own a gun. Many of her critics are hunters. But they say that packing heat at a soccer game - or anywhere else around children - is dangerous and foolhardy.
In Pennsylvania, gun owners are allowed to carry weapons in the open as Hain does, but need a permit to conceal them in a pocket, purse or car. So without a permit, Hain could still carry a gun at the game but couldn't take it in the car to get there.
Even Judge Robert J. Eby, who restored her permit on Oct. 14, said he thought she lacked good judgment and common sense.
"You scared the devil out of some other people," Eby said.
He chided her for causing anxiety and apprehension in other people and said he didn't think anyone needed gun protection at a 5-year-old's soccer game. Concealing it "would be the right thing to do," he said.
Hain, who has children ages 1, 5 and 9 and a 9-year-old stepdaughter, says a near-fatal car accident 21/2 years ago destroyed her sense of security and convinced her that the worst can happen.
"I thought, 'What more can I do to ensure the safety of myself and my children?' " she said. "It's not a matter of being paranoid. People have smoke detectors and fire extinguishers in their homes. They're not paranoid; they're prepared."
Articulate and well-versed in gun laws, she is a vegetarian and Krishna follower with a Sanskrit symbol tattooed on her forearm, though she calls herself a "pseudo-devotee." Her husband, who taught her to shoot, works in law enforcement but stays out of the fray, fearing it will cost him his job. She won't say where he works and in fact, he sat in his car while a reporter and photographer were in his house with Hain.
Her babysitting business has suffered. Two babysitting clients have fled and she is down to just one family. Michael Long - who leaves Tyler, 2, and Joshawa, 8, with Hain one day a week - said he doesn't worry because she locks up her gun when the children are in the house.
"I can see where she's coming from," he said, scooping up Tyler in Hain's living room, which was filled with toys. In a large crate in the kitchen was Ghost, an enormous bull mastiff.
Others, though, say they can't understand why she feels so threatened.
"I said, 'Kids are more in danger of falling off a piece of playground equipment or getting hit by a car in the parking lot than anybody coming and doing anything where you need a gun to defend yourself,' " Jones said.
But Hain sees danger lurking around every corner.
She carries the weapon cowboy-style because in an emergency - not that there has ever been one - "I don't really need anything extra in the way of the gun if I'm going to have to pull it out and I'm holding a baby and trying to shuttle two or three other kids," she said.
And she doesn't want to have to wait for help to arrive. "When seconds count," she said, "the police are minutes away."
DeLeo said he had rarely seen anyone other than a police officer walk around with a gun on the hip. In fact, doing so might make Hain more of a target, he said.
"If you carry it open, you already lost the element of surprise," he said.
Moreover, it increases the change of accidental shootings, Vice of the Brady Center said. And a child could easily grab it.
"Semiautomatic weapons are made so that even young children can fire them," he said.
At Wal-Mart, Hain zipped through the aisles like any other busy mother, except she had a Glock on her hip instead of a cell phone. The last time she was in the store, a woman complained about the gun to a manager who asked Hain to leave. She explained that she was legally entitled to carry the gun and marched back into the store.
On this trip, few people seemed to notice the gun as she filled her cart with Pokémon cards, jeans and diapers. Then in the milk aisle, a man and woman approached.
"Thank you for standing up for yourself," said John Stegall, who said he recognized her from the newspaper.
After they left, Hain, ever vigilant, said she had noticed them looking at her and wondered whether they were going to cause trouble.
"People who carry pay a lot of attention to what's going on around them," she said.
Hain has thought about becoming a cop, but friends told her that nobody would hire her because "she makes waves," she said.
But as she checked out, a young cashier asked whether she was a police officer.
"No, it's for self-defense," she said as she loaded her cart. "Do you know how many crimes have taken place in Wal-Mart parking lots?"
http://www.philly.com/philly/hp/news_up ... ?viewAll=y

Israel: Iran could attack US with nuclear bomb
Israel has warned that Iran could try to attack the US if it acquired a nuclear weapon.
By Our Foreign Staff
Last Updated: 8:19PM GMT 17 Dec 2008
Ehud Barak, the Israeli defence minister, appealed to world leaders to act now to prevent Iran from continuing its nuclear programme.
"If it built even a primitive nuclear weapon like the type that destroyed Hiroshima, Iran would not hesitate to load it on a ship, arm it with a detonator operated by GPS and sail it into a vital port on the east coast of North America," Mr Barak told a conference of the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University.
Indicating the possibility of an Israeli military strike on Iran, Mr Barak said: "We are not taking any option off the table, and we recommend to the world not to take any option off the table, and we mean what we say."
His comments came as a Russian news agency reported that the Kremlin had confirmed that it will deliver a new air defence system to Iran. The Russian foreign ministry denied reports of the deal in October.
But it is now believed to be implementing the deal, which will see Russia deliver an S300 system to the Islamic republic to help it fend off possible air strikes on its nuclear sites by Israel or the US.
The most advanced version of the S-300 system can track targets and fire at aircraft 75 miles away. It is known in the West as the SA20.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldne ... -bomb.html

Crude plunges as economy struggles, spending falls
Oil continued its downward march Thursday as mass layoffs pushed the U.S. economy deeper into recession, signaling a drastic pullback on energy spending.
Light, sweet crude for January delivery, fell 9%, or $3.84, to settle at $36.22 a barrel after dropping as low as $35.98, levels last seen in June 2004. The January contract closes on Friday. Light, sweet crude for February delivery fell $2.94 to settle at $41.67.
There is no demand for oil right now, said analyst Peter Beutel of Cameron Hanover.
Higher prices for the February contract suggest that oil brokers and traders believe OPEC's unprecedented 2.2 million-barrel daily production cut, announced Wednesday, will tighten supply. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries had already taken 2 million barrels of oil out of production, bringing total cuts to more than 4 million barrels per day.
"The market is saying OPEC cuts will have an impact but just not right away," he said.
Analyst and trader Stephen Schork said, "The only people still holding on to January contracts are those who made the assumption that $40 per barrel would hold. Those people are losing their shirts."
Schork said crude prices have further to fall.
Economic data continue to paint a dire situation in the U.S., Europe and Asia.
The U.S. Labor Department reported Thursday that new applications for jobless benefits fell to a seasonally adjusted 554,000 for the week ended Dec. 13, from an upwardly revised figure of 575,000 the previous week.
Still, the four-week moving average, which smooths out fluctuations, increased slightly to 543,750 claims, the highest since December 1982. The labor force has grown by about half since then.
Large layoffs are occurring across many sectors of the economy. On Wednesday alone, hard drive maker Western Digital, managed-care company Aetna and Newell Rubbermaid, maker of products including Rubbermaid storage containers and Sharpie pens, announced mass job cuts.
Pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb, International Paper and Bank of America also announced layoffs in the past week.
On Thursday, the Conference Board, a private research group, said its index of leading economic indicators fell 0.4% in November. The index is meant to forecast economic activity in the next three to six months. It has dropped 2.8% in the six months through November, the worst decline since 1991.
As companies and consumers spend less, analysts continue to whittle away energy demand expectations.
JPMorgan on Thursday cut its 2009 price target for oil to $43 a barrel from $69, citing "ongoing deterioration in the world economic environment and the ensuing sharp contraction in global oil demand in both 2008 and 2009."
Oil prices have tumbled 73% since July. What started as a crisis in the U.S. subprime mortgage sector last year has mushroomed into a recession in most developed countries and a sharp downturn in emerging nations.
Actions by OPEC and tumbling fuel prices have failed to stimulate demand.
"OPEC is virtually powerless right now," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Association. "They'll simply have to be patient and wait for some semblance of demand improvement."
Beutel said it could be several more months before there is a response to lower prices.
This week's dive in oil prices comes as the dollar weakens against the euro, which peaked at $1.4719 in overnight trading, its highest point since late September.
Typically, a weaker dollar sends investors scurrying into the oil markets because crude is bought and sold in U.S. currency. That is what happened as prices made their historic run at $150 over the summer.
The severe drop-off in demand, however has scuttled almost all of the rules that traditionally govern trade in oil, as the OPEC production cuts show.
Retail gasoline prices fell for 86 straight days, until Friday.
Retail gas prices, which hit a low of $1.656 a gallon on Friday, rose 0.3 cents to $1.67 a gallon Thursday, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express. It is the third consecutive day of price increases, but is still down from $2.068 a month ago and $2.99 a year ago.
China on Thursday cut prices for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel as the government tries to revive economic growth.
The price of diesel is being cut 18% while the price of gasoline will fall by 13.8%, effective Friday, according to the country's planning agency, the Cabinet's National Development and Reform Commission. Jet fuel prices will fall by 32%.
The cuts will help trucking companies, airlines, factories and others that are being squeezed by high fuel prices and a slump in sales.
The U.S. Department of Energy on Thursday said natural gas storage levels in the U.S. tumbled much more than expected last week and continue to remain below year-ago levels.
The Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that natural gas inventories held in underground storage in the lower 48 states fell by 124 billion cubic feet to about 3.17 trillion cubic feet for the week ended Friday.
Analysts had expected a drop of between 107 billion to 112 billion cubic feet, according to a survey by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos.
In other Nymex trading, gasoline futures fell 4.26 cents to 96.3 cents a gallon. Heating oil fell 6.96 cents to $1.3729 a gallon while natural gas for January delivery fell 7 cents to settle at $5.548 per 1,000 cubic feet.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/energy/2008-12-18-oil-thursday_N.htm

Good, wish they had asked mr to help
Iraqi judge: Shoe-tossing reporter was beaten December 19, 2008 - 7:38am
By QASSIM ABDUL-ZAHRA Associated Press Writer
BAGHDAD (AP) - The Iraqi journalist who threw his shoes at
President George W. Bush during a news conference was beaten afterward and had bruises on his face and around his eyes, a judge said Friday.
Judge Dhia al-Kinani, the magistrate investigating the incident, said the court has opened an investigation into the alleged beating of journalist
Muntadhar al-Zeidi.
Al-Zeidi was wrestled to the ground after throwing his shoes during the news conference Sunday by Bush and
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, and there has been conflicting claims on his condition since then. One of his brothers said he was harshly beaten, but another said he seemed to be in good condition.
Al-Zeidi "was beaten in the news conference and we will watch the tape and write an official letter asking for the names of those who assaulted him," the judge told
The Associated Press. "Al-Zeidi has the right to drop this case."
The journalist was in custody and was expected to eventually face charges of insulting a foreign leader. A conviction could bring a sentence of two years in prison.
Al-Kinani also confirmed that the journalist had written a letter of apology to al-Maliki.
Iraq's president can grant pardons that are requested by the prime minister, but the judge said such a pardon can be issued only after a conviction.
He added that he could not drop the case even though neither Bush nor al-Maliki had complained. "This case was filed because of an article in the law concerning the protection of the respect of sovereignity," he said.
A spokesman for al-Maliki said Thursday that the letter contained a specific pardon request. But al-Zeidi's brother Dhargham told The AP that he suspected the letter was a forgery.
The incident, a vivid demonstration of Iraqis' dismay over the
U.S.-led invasion and occupation of the country for more than five years, turned al-Zeidi into an instant folk hero. Thousands of Iraqis have demonstrated for his release.
The judge said the investigation would be completed and sent to the criminal court on Sunday, after which a court date would be set within seven to 10 days.
Al-Zeidi's action was broadcast repeatedly on television stations around the world.
U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack suggested that worldwide attention to the shoe-tossing was overblown.
"We would hope that the fact of a U.S. president standing next to a freely elected prime minister of Iraq who just happens to be Shia, who is governing in a multi-confessional, multiethnic democracy in the heart of the
Middle East, is not overshadowed by one incident like this," McCormack told reporters in Washington.
McCormack said he believed that in the coming years "the fact of the president making that visit under those circumstances will probably overshadow any memory of this particular gentleman and what he did."
In the Iranian capital
Tehran, hard-line Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati praised the act at Friday prayers, calling it the "Shoe Intifadha."
Jannati proposed people in Iraq and
Iran should carry shoes in further anti-American demonstrations. "This should be a role model," said Jannati.
Also Friday, the head of a large
West Bank family said it is willing to offer one of its eligible females as a bride for al-Zeidi. The leader, 75-year-old Ahmad Salim Judeh, said that the 500-member clan had raised $30,000 for al-Zeidi's legal defense.
http://wtop.com/?nid=500&sid=1550024

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Eeyore's Important News and View

Depression strikes many working moms, but too few seek help. The hidden story--and life-altering solutions.
By: Katherine Eban, Image: Rebecca Floyd/VeerDepression is the last thing most moms expect to experience once their babies are sleeping through the night, talking up a storm and walking around. But one in five working women is depressed—and the illness can hit years after a child is born. We spoke with a few brave working moms about the crippling darkness that overtook their lives and their steps toward recovery
Teresa Bagan had every reason to be elated. After four years of bruising fertility treatments, stress and disappointment, she was finally holding her beautiful son, whose piercing blue eyes and sweet smile made her feel that at last all was right with the world. “I thought, The most difficult part is behind me,
” recalls Teresa, 41, a manager at a publishing company in New York City. But just as her child was turning 2—and thriving—Teresa began to feel anxious. Though usually calm and deliberative, she felt easily unnerved. She grew impatient with her son. All she wanted to do was sleep. Doomsday scenarios flooded her mind. She developed stomach pain, which grew steadily worse. Soon she was convinced she had stomach cancer, but she refused to go to the doctor, in part because she didn’t want to face the diagnosis. “If you feel rational, ultimately you want to go to the doctor,” she says. “I wasn’t rational.”

At the office, Teresa found it increasingly difficult to maintain her composure. In the middle of a staff meeting, she couldn’t breathe. Her heart was racing. She excused herself, escaped to the ladies’ room, locked herself in a stall and sobbed. Though she could retreat to the bathroom at work, at home there was nowhere to hide. Her attacks of breathlessness and sobbing increased, sometimes striking in the middle of the night. Despite her exhaustion, she couldn’t sleep.

On a getaway weekend, she confessed to her husband that she thought she was dying. He insisted she go to the doctor. When she refused, he became angry. She walked around feeling “like a bad mom, a bad employee—and a bad wife because I was frustrated that my husband wasn’t rescuing me.”

One day, after three long months of veiled suffering, Teresa knew that she couldn’t continue like this for one more second.
“My son grabbed me as I walked through the door from work and I shook him off, handed him to my mother, who babysits for me, and drove to the emergency room. I couldn’t care for my child—and that was my breaking point.” The diagnosis wasn’t cancer. It was anxiety disorder and chronic depression. “I was stunned,” Teresa says. “It was the last thing I’d suspected. I mean, depression, that’s what happens postpartum or when there’s a history of it in your family.” With the help of medication and therapy, she came to realize that she had been in such a just-push-through-this state, managing her pregnancy struggles, marriage, new motherhood and a demanding job with such compartmentalized focus, that she’d suffered a breakdown precisely at the moment when she could finally draw a breath. “It was as if the minute I let my guard down, boom, I was hit. This darkness was just waiting in the wings.”

Deadlines & Diapers
These days, most women learn about the risks of postpartum depression, the haze of new motherhood that can threaten to plunge them into a crippling, if brief, depression. About 15 percent of new mothers succumb to it, according to the National Alliance on Mental Illness. What most women don’t read about in brochures in their ob-gyn’s waiting room is that some of the triggers for postpartum depression—feelings of isolation and overwhelming stress—can wallop you years later. It’s often their can-do qualities—juggling deadlines and diapers, deal-making and day care—that enable many working women to sail through the challenging early years of their baby’s life, only to tip them into serious depression once the hardest part has passed. “It’s a strong-woman feature: High-functioning people keep on going,” says Sharon Dobie, MD, a family medicine physician and professor at the University of Washington in Seattle. The working moms who “think they can get everything done are going to hit the wall at some point,” she adds, especially if they insist on the same level of performance. Those conditioned to keep going in the face of all obstacles may be particularly vulnerable to depression and least likely to seek the help they need.

“We are getting more and more calls from women who say, ‘My baby is four and I am depressed,’” says Karen Kleiman, founder and executive director of the Postpartum Stress Center in Rosemont, PA.
Because working mothers are under pressure to be productive and maintain their composure, she notes, they have a strong incentive to hide their depression—even from themselves. “I treat women who are attorneys and physicians, and their inclination is to pretend it will go away by itself,” says Kleiman. “Women who run corporations and have a hundred people below them seem to be doing really well at the office, but they go home and cry themselves to sleep, thinking of ways to kill themselves.” Indeed, a key trigger is the gap between how a working mom feels she should be behaving and performing and how she believes she actually is.

More working mothers suffer from depression than anyone might think. Consider this: One out of every five women in the workplace will experience depression in her lifetime, according to the National Mental Health Association. Women are about twice as likely to suffer depression as men. And it’s estimated that more than a third of women in their child-bearing years have symptoms of the disease. Despite the prevalence, about 40 percent of afflicted women don’t seek help, a result of the continuing stigma of mental illness. “Men are seen as troubled, while women are seen as nuts,” says Kleiman.

Experts say that, clinically, depression is depression, whether it happens to men or women. And it can come days, months or even years after the delivery of a child. The symptoms include feeling tired, sad and hopeless. Activities and hobbies that you usually can’t wait to get to seem like chores, and the deep funk persists for two weeks or longer. Recognizing these signs for what they are is critical, because depression can be a chronic relapsing illness that requires swift treatment. “There are brain changes that occur during depression,” says Anita Clayton, MD, the David C. Wilson Professor of Psychiatry at the University of Virginia. “The longer depression goes untreated, the more those changes occur.” Once mothers return to work, they may chalk up their fatigue, negative outlook or changes in weight or sleep to the stress of juggling motherhood and career. But for the working mother who forgoes treatment and is “just holding her breath,” says Kleiman, the result can be “catastrophic.” Being aware of what triggers depression, understanding high-risk factors and seeing symptoms for what they really are can save your life.
(you can read the whole article below)
http://www.workingmother.com/web?service=direct/1/ViewRotatingPortlet/RotatingPortalBlocks/dlinkArticle&sp=S1837&sp=118


Democrats will tax anything that moves or does not move.
N.Y. governor proposing 'obesity tax' on sugary soft drinks
Looking to fill in a yawning $15 billion budget hole, New York Gov. David Patterson wants to levy an "obesity tax" on sugar-charged, non-diet soft drinks.
The 15% tax, among revenue measures the governor is to announce tomorrow, would raise about $404 million a year. Milk, juice, diet soda and bottled water would be exempt.
"It looks like a money grab," the voice of the beverage industry tells Advertising Age.
The Daily News, The New York Times and the Financial Times have details.

Cholera death toll nears 1K in Zimbabwe
Q1x00184_9 BBC News says cholera has killed 978 people in Zimbabwe since the summer, according to the latest figures compiled by the United Nations.

The U.N. says at least 18,413 people are thought to be suffering from the diarrheal illness.
Just last week, Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe announced that the epidemic was over. This map shows the extent of the deadly outbreak.


Russian warships headed to Cuba

Q1x00049_9_2

Three Russian warships will visit Cuba later this week, RIA-Novosti, the state-run news agency, reports.
AFP says the vessels will be in Havana from Friday to Tuesday.
Russian Navy Capt. Igor Dygalo tells the Associated Press that this is the first time Russian warships have visited Cuba since the end of the Cold War. DPA identifies the vessels as the "Admiral Chabanenko missile destroyer and two support ships."


What is the matter with these "people"? Don't they have any appreciation?

Iraqis demand release of shoe-hurling journalist

BAGHDAD (AP) — Thousands of Iraqis took to the streets Monday to demand the release of a reporter who threw his shoes at President Bush in anger at U.S. policies, as support for the act and the journalist flowed in from across the Arab world.
The protests came as suicide bombers and gunmen targeted Iraqi police, plus U.S.-allied Sunni guards and civilians, in a series of attacks Monday that killed at least 17 people and wounded more than a dozen others, officials said.
The journalist, Muntadhar al-Zeidi, was being held by Iraqi security Monday and interrogated about whether anybody had paid him to throw his shoes at Bush during a press conference Sunday in Baghdad, said an Iraqi official.
He was also being tested for alcohol and drugs, and his shoes were being held as evidence, said the official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the media.
Showing the sole of your shoe to someone in the Arab world is a sign of extreme disrespect, and throwing your shoes is even worse. Iraqis whacked a statue of Saddam with their shoes after U.S. Marines toppled it to the ground after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion.
Al-Zeidi was immediately wrestled to the ground after throwing the shoes, by Iraqi security guards. But the incident raised fears of a security lapse in the heavily guarded Green Zone where the press conference took place. Reporters were repeatedly searched and asked to show identification before entering the compound, which houses al-Maliki's office and the U.S. Embassy.
Meanwhile, newspapers across the Arab world Monday printed front-page photos of Bush ducking the flying shoes, and satellite TV stations repeatedly aired the incident, which was hailed by the president's many critics in the region.
Many are fed up with U.S. policy and still angry over Bush's decision to invade Iraq in 2003 to topple Saddam Hussein.
Wafa Khayat, 48, a doctor in the West Bank town of Nablus, called the attack "a message to Bush and all the U.S. policymakers that they have to stop killing and humiliating people."
In Jordan, a strong U.S. ally, a 42-year-old businessman, Samer Tabalat, praised al-Zeidi as "the man. ... He did what Arab leaders failed to do."
Al-Zeidi's TV station, Al-Baghdadia, repeatedly aired pleas to release the reporter Monday, while showing footage of explosions and playing background music that denounced the U.S. military presence in Iraq.
"We have all been mobilized to work on releasing him," said Abdel-Hameed al-Sayeh, the manager of Al-Baghdadia in Cairo, where the station is based.
Al-Jazeera television interviewed Saddam's former chief lawyer Khalil al-Dulaimi, who offered to defend al-Zeidi, calling him a "hero."
In Baghdad's Shiite slum of Sadr City, thousands of supporters of radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr burned American flags to protest against Bush and call for the release of al-Zeidi.
"Bush, Bush, listen well: Two shoes on your head," the protesters chanted.
In Najaf, a Shiite holy city, some protesters threw their shoes at an American patrol as it passed by. Witnesses said the American troops did not respond and continued on their patrol.
Violence in Iraq has declined significantly over the past year but daily attacks continue. A truck bomb killed at least nine police officers Monday and wounded 13 others in Khan Dhari west of Baghdad, said Dr. Omar al-Rawi at the Fallujah hospital, where dead and wounded were taken.The U.S. military said eight Iraqi police officers were killed and 10 people were wounded in the blast. Conflicting casualty tolls are common in the chaotic aftermath of bombings.
Hours earlier, a female suicide bomber knocked on the front door of the leader of a local chapter of the Sunni volunteer militia north of Baghdad and blew herself up, killing him, said an Iraqi police official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk to the press.
Also Monday, gunmen killed seven people from a single family, members of the minority Yazidi sect, when they stormed into their home in northern Iraq, police said.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/iraq/2008-12-15-iraq-shoe-protests_N.htm

Hyperinflation and then The Second Great Depression
Posted: December 10 2008
A future out of control, bankrupt financial institutions trying to hold on, limitation on credit severely limits ability of the economy to start up again, debt totally embraces our lives, handouts a state secret, soon cash infusions wont work for banks anymore, banks hold too much toxic garbage to even know if they are solvent We are now 17 months into a credit crisis that continues to expose the corruption and incompetence of government, banking, Wall Street and transnational corporations. The situation has not stabilized and it won’t anytime soon. All we see are sweetheart deals for elitist corporations for which American taxpayers will pay for years to come. The future of our nation is totally out of control. For the last eight years our economy has been running on something for nothing, lies and deceit. The result will be hyperinflation and then the Second Great Depression.
As we predicted long ago the only avenue open to the elitists that control our country is to hyper-inflate to avoid collapse as long as possible. In this process financial institutions, most of whom are bankrupt, are trying with the help of the American taxpayer, to hold on. In that process they are severely limiting credit, which restricts business and growth and has caused crippling de-leveraging in our economy, particularly among hedge funds. Debt totally embraces our lives and finally we see de-leveraging among individuals as all debtors and borrowers come under pressured from the lenders. While this transpires relentlessly, unemployment grows stamping out the buying power of the masses many of whom already are on the edge of bankruptcy. We have this great mass of disintegration on the bottom and massive amounts of money and credit on the top. The money and credit is not reaching consumers who have been forced to stop buying. It is staying on the balance sheets of banks, brokerage houses, insurance companies and transnational conglomerates, such as G.E.
As you can tell from our publication and its growing size there is so much negative news we cannot publish it all. The response of government has been a massive distribution of taxpayer funds and if you can believe this they refuse to tell us who are the recipients of this public largess. In spite of repeated requests they refuse to name the borrowers, so that corruption and fraud can thrive. In such an environment of aggregate creation and corruption the only investments that shine are gold and silver. The cracks are appearing in this edifice of greed and the only place to flee to is those historical stand buys.
The first $125 billion lent by TARP went to banks in the Fed system of which 90% was used to award bonuses. This is to make sure that the Illuminists continue to receive the riches of the system. Funds are being lent, but the system is being strangled. Funds lie on bank balance sheets to keep them solvent and to be available for dividends and the purchase of other non-elitist banks. This is why more and more funds are needed for the system. This is what we realized very early on, some three months ago and that is how we were able to predict that more than $10 trillion would be needed to keep the system afloat. In time these infusions won’t work any more.
This is why the Fed and the Treasury won’t tell you who is receiving the handouts. It is a state secret. Such arrogance is unprecedented in the history of America.
Banks do not really know if they are solvent because they are holding so much toxic garbage. On top of that they have to contend with losses on credit cards, commercial mortgages, vehicle loans and derivatives.
As this game goes on unemployment is 6.7%, U6 13.5% and long-term joblessness is 15.4%. That means a further hit on bank earnings, balance sheets and solvency.
What has also gone almost totally unnoticed is the $700 billion drain from the economy via cash management bill. This holds down inflation and those funds end up in Treasuries that end up in elitist banks in exchange for toxic CODs, SIVs, and allows banks to handle their naked derivative problems. These tactics by the Fed and Treasury puts more downward pressure on the economy causing more unemployment and less consumer spending. This deepens the recession. Saving AIG, as we predicted, will cost $500 billion and Citigroup $1 trillion. JP Morgan Chase has unlimited funds to cover its derivative losses, control the bond market and to depress gold prices. That is why what Morgan does is classified as a national security issue.
It has been just three weeks since the Fed flooded the books of the 16 major banks that run Libor, the London Interbank Offered Rate, which is used worldwide to calculate interest rates. That rate was 4.8% for 3-month paper. A couple of days ago it was 2.16%. This forced the lenders to loosen up on lending and bring interest rates down. This needless to say is highly inflationary. Among other reasons for the manipulation is that this rate is used to set mortgage rates worldwide. The funds used to accomplish this were lent by the Treasury to US banks, which in turn lent to London banks. That step was followed by the Treasury and the Fed, via Morgan, Goldman and Citi, to drive down rates on US Treasuries. The long term rate on the US Ten-year Treasury note was then driven down from 4% to 2.55%. 30-year fixed rate mortgages usually sell for 1% to 1-1/4% higher than the 10s, so rates should be 3.80%. The lenders, banks, held rates at 6% to 6.5%. After such an onslaught they have dropped rates to 5.5%. That isn’t good enough for the Fed and the Treasury, they want rates at 4.5% for FHA loans, so that is where that mortgage rate is headed. If you were waiting to reset your mortgage wait until rates go below 5%. That should happen soon. This shows you how extensive government and Fed manipulation is.
Vast amounts of funds are being funneled in the finance sector where half the corporations are bankrupt, without any questions or announcements as to who’s getting the funds. We are talking about over $10 trillion yet the UAW and the officials of GM, Ford and Chrysler have to beg on their knees for $15 billion to tide them over for 3 to 6 months. This shows you how unfair the entire process is and how the Illuminists are trying to bury the American and Canadian vehicle manufacturers as soon as possible. The Democrats see political advantage here and will get a bailout done. They should be carried for 6 months and that is it. We believer they will not make it. We see absolutely no recovery for years to come. In June they’ll all file for bankruptcy. What you are seeing is a sideshow. Our vehicle business will not survive unless Congress implements trade tariffs on goods and services. Remember whether companies live or die is decided by the Illuminists not by a free marketplace. Most of the money lent out is going to bankrupt loser banks and brokerage houses, which caused all these problems in the first place; Labor elitists have exacerbated the problem over the years as well. It is still not too late to drop labor rates from $31 to $15 an hour and make other major concessions as well, in the absence of trade tariffs in order to survive.
How would you like to have several billion dollars without any restrictions on how it’s spent? That is the kind of deal Citigroup, AIG, JP Morgan Chase and many other institutions have regarding money from the Treasury and the Fed. These are the Illuminist corporations that are deemed too big to fail. When they are to be bailed out Congress has very little to say, but when the big 3 automakers need help congress puts them through the hoops. This capitalism is survival of the fittest and the richest. There is no fairness or even handedness. It is the worst looting of the American people in history. Automakers must have a plan, but Citigroup doesn’t need one. As it was said in Animal Farm, “some are more equal than others.”
Bear Stearns was financially assassinated. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG were rescued to cover up their frauds. The corrupt Lehman Brothers was simply beyond saving. It would most certainly have been saved if it had been possible. The only way Fannie and Freddie were saved was by guaranteeing their bonds. That job was left to the American taxpayer.
Such bailouts and free trade, globalization, offshoring and outsourcing have destroyed our economy. These actions began in full force under Clinton and Rubin, and were strongly carried on under the Bushes. The strong dollar-anti-gold policies in the 1990s laid the groundwork for the boom and bust of the dotcom era. It also allowed conglomerates to offshore production and workers, which destroyed our industrial base. These US transnationals control 60% of Chinese exports to the US. As a result the American consumer economy is now collapsing.
In June subprime and ALT-A resets should be mostly over, but the Option-ARMs-Pick-and-Pay loans are coming into view. The later are ten times larger than the former held by banks. A 10% write off would wipe out many American banks. Just recently ALT-A and Option ARMs delinquencies were averaging 20 plus percent for 2006 loans, and 17% plus for 2007, up from 16.9% and 12.2% six months ago. As this next nightmare unfolds over the next four years, it will be joined by the FHA bubble that will begin two years from now. This is more serious than the subprime/ALT-A fiasco could have dreamed of being. This will be a wipeout and all treasury’s Paulson and the Fed’s Bernanke can think of doing is to bail out Illuminist Wall Street and banking. They want to make sure shareholders get their dividends and corporate officers get their mega salaries and bonuses. Wait until the other loans go bust – the credit card and vehicle loans. As we explained previously the commercial real estate market is frozen because banks won’t lend and that crisis is unfolding as we speak. The people who destroyed our financial system are being allowed to repair it. The problem is they are not repairing it – they are looting it further. The fraud is blatant and Americans are too dumb to understand what is being done to them.
As a result of the Fed draining liquidity out of the system and giving it to the banks to keep them solvent via cash management bill sales, there is little left in the economy and the people to borrow. These actions should be looked at for what they are – a further bailout of the financial industry. This in part is a reason why credit default swaps on US Treasuries are at 50 bps not at 1 or 2 bps. This figure is rising because professionals think there is a growing possibility of the US government defaulting on its debt. This premium is double what it was just two months ago. In case it interests you, states such as California, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio and New Jersey vary from 192 bps to 164 bps. Can you see the great risk in buying or owning municipal bonds issued by these states? If you own them dump them. You cannot be blind to the facts - take action emotionlessly and sell them if you own them. Whatever, you do not buy them. This is why we stopped recommending US Treasuries a year ago and switched to Swiss franc Treasuries.
Investors are running headlong to liquidity, bypassing quality and safety. After they realize they’ve only solved part of the problem they will head for gold. The supply of US Treasuries grows exponentially every day. The dollar is strong and it shouldn’t be. The demand for physical gold cannot be filled so obviously some people realize what is going on. That is why Comex December futures’ physical delivery is at all-time highs. There are even rumors that the Bank of England has shipped gold to Comex to meet deliveries. In time we will all, but it makes sense.
Values in residential and commercial real estate continue to fall. Residential is off 17.4% and foreclosures are continuing at record rates. Millions of homes are in negative equity and are subject to walk-a-ways. This is the monstrosity the banks and brokerage houses created. First by issuing credit to people they knew could never pay and then securitizing mortgages as AAA’s that were BBB’s. Nothing but out and out criminal fraud. Government wants lenders to reduce loan balances to meet equity. They refuse to do so. Worse yet, most of the American public is broke. The only thing left for government to do is to nationalize all mortgages, which we predicted they would do 4-1/2 years ago. Get it straight your government is bankrupt. That will add $2 to $3 trillion on to the $10 plus trillion they are already under water for. Incidentally, Congress in which American voters returned 94% of incumbents to office, does exactly what the elitist bankers and Wall Street tells it to do.
Put this all together and you have massive inflation on the way. This means gold is bottoming out again over the next two weeks. When that’s completed you can expect a major upward move in gold and silver.
The conference Board says its Employment Trends Index fell to 102.9 in November from 104.5 in October.
The Fed now has no choice but to purchase all Treasury paper the Treasury cannot sell. They have no other choice. This perceived flight to quality by investors is a suicide mission as it is for the Fed. Later whom will they sell too? The Fed is the buyer of last resort.
Sony will cut 8,000 jobs to reduce $1.1 billion in costs.
Wyndham worldwide will cut 4,000 jobs and cut back on timeshares.
Three-months ago 29 states faced a $48 billion shortfall. In 2009, 41 states face a projected $71.9 billion budget shortfall. California and Florida lead the pack with $31.7 billion and $5.1 billion. Projections are for a shortage of $200 billion by 2010. Across the country services are being cut for the elderly, disabled, the poor and the unemployed. Tuitions rise as teachers are cut.
Some states have “rainy day funds” and many have dipped into them already, and some are already depleted. This means no social safety net because it has been ripped to shreds over the past twenty years. In addition, fiscal debt is massive. We see a $1.3 trillion shortfall for September 30, 2009’s fiscal year. Spending will be cut and taxes will be raised.
Thus far $32 trillion has been lost in world equity markets, which is more than double US GDP. Then there is $6 trillion lost in US real estate alone. Then there is commercial real estate and in commodities. Those losses are probably near $75 trillion to $100 trillion worldwide.
Governments worldwide are increasing money and credit, lowering interest rates and raising deficit spending to unheard of levels. Our $1.3 trillion deficit could range as high as $2.5 trillion dependent on what the president-elect decides to do and he’s going to spend money with wild abandon on domestic problems. The problem is not the presence of liquidity; it is debt. That is solved by cutting expenses faster than you cut taxes. This allows funds to flow into consumer hands and not widen government debt. Consumers can spend more if their debt is low and reduce debt if necessary. Interest rates should rise so Americans can save. As you well know just the opposite is happening. The question is will treasury and the Fed be able to keep deflation’s head down by pouring massive amounts of liquidity into the system? We believe it will work for 2 to 3 more years and when the system is sodden in debt and inflation it won’t work anymore, deflation will move into control.
The power behind government is in a precarious position. Either this works or they go down with the economy and they are well aware of it. They are on a voyage of no return.
We reflect on Japan since 1991. If zero interest rates and a permissive money and credit policy worked, plus the generous help from the US, Japan would have been out of the woods years ago. It hasn’t worked, yet the major government’s of the world are repeating the same mistakes.
Government has no intention of cutting spending, nor heading anywhere near a balanced budget. That reflects to no savings and having to continue to depend on foreigners to fund our debts. Sound money is something that never enters the mid of elitists behind the scenes, nor politicians either. In time we imagine foreigners will demand bonds in local currencies like the yen as the Japanese have – eventually maybe even gold.
The December IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism was 450 down from 50.8 in November. The Economic Optimism Index fell 5.8 points, or 11.4% to reach 45 in December. The index is 2.5 points above its 12-month average 42.5 and just 6.5 points below its all-time average of 51.5.
Restructuring mortgages does not work. 58% return to default in just eight months. After three months 36% default and after six months 56%.
Obviously these results tell us that government and the lenders are far from solving the foreclosure crisis. That is because they are not trying to solve the crisis. Lenders are failing to give troubled homeowners affordable long-term fixed rate mortgages. They more likely were offering modified loans that resulted in a higher – not lower – monthly payment.
The National Association of Home Builders wants homebuyers to get a free tax credit, and for government to buy down mortgage interest rates. They also want continuing government breaks to keep people who would go into foreclosure in their homes. Even with this stimulus the industry won’t be doing much building soon due to the huge inventory of homes in the pipeline. The new problem for the past year has been, how can you think of buying a home when you may not have a job next week?
They complain of higher lending standards and what they consider high interest rates at 5-1/2% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. They want 4-1/2% rates. That is why the Treasury and the Fed are forcing interest rates lower. Then the FHA can justify cheaper rates. The Treasury is also buying bonds from FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to force rates down.
In addition the incoming administration expects to pass bankruptcy reform, which would allow courts to modify an individuals mortgage payments and to provide a universal mortgage credit, for homeowners that do not itemize their taxes.
Housing starts fell 4.5% in October, the slowest pace since the 1940s. New home sales fell 5.3%. Builders want a non-repayable tax credit of 10% of the home price. They want 2.99% rates for contracts to June 2009 and 3.99% after that. What they should be is allowed to go bankrupt.
Unemployment has fallen far heavier on men than women. In the last 12 months more than 8 of 10 pink slips have fallen on men who are paid more than women. This is as gender-lopsided as it gets. In November male unemployment was 7.2% and female 6%.
For the first time since 1940, and briefly during the Great Depression, US T-Bills went negative. Yesterday, three-month T-Bills traded at a negative yield…The US sold $30B of 3-month T-Bills for 0%, another first!
U.S. companies are headed for their first three-year decline in profits since at least the 1980s, according to David J. Kostin, a strategist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Operating earnings per share for companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index will drop 5 percent next year after tumbling an estimated 33 percent this year, Kostin wrote in a report today. They fell 6 percent in 2007.
JP Morgan Chase & Co., the largest U.S. bank, owns 40 percent of the shut-down Chicago factory whose workers are blaming Bank of America Corp. for causing the company’s demise.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac engaged in “an orgy of junk mortgage development” that turned the two mortgage-finance giants into vast repositories of subprime and similarly risky loans, a former Fannie executive testified on Tuesday…
Edward J. Pinto, a former chief credit officer at Fannie Mae, told the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee that the mortgage giants, which have been taken over by the government, now guarantee or hold 10.5 million nonprime loans worth $1.6 trillion — one in three of all subprime loans, and nearly two in three of all so-called Alt-A loans, often called “liar loans.” Arnold Kling, an economist and former Freddie Mac officer, testified that a high-risk loan could be “laundered,” as he put it, by Wall Street and come back into the banking system as a triple-A rated security for sale to investors, obscuring its true risks. Charles Calomiris, a finance professor at
Columbia, testified that nobody saw the crisis coming because the two mortgage giants “adopted accounting practices that masked their subprime and Alt-A lending,” but did not elaborate.
Another lever was what Representative Christopher Shays, Republican of Connecticut, said was more than $175 million in lobbying fees spent by the mortgage giants over 10 years, in part to counter attempts at stronger oversight.
The developer of the stalled Centerpoint condominium towers in downtown Tempe filed for bankruptcy on the project Friday after months of legal wrangling with its construction lender, Mortgages Ltd.
With its Chapter 11 petition for reorganization, Avenue Communities LLC said it also planned to file a lawsuit against Mortgages Ltd. and the lender's investors for failing to fund loans to build the high-rise project.
November rain poured down on hedge-fund managers as market turmoil and increased demands from investors wanting their money back deepened problems for funds already facing their worst year on record.
http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com/International_Forecaster_Weekly/Hyperinflation_and_then_The_Second_Great_Depression